Research >> Economics

3Q2023 Productivity Growth increased 4.7%


Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 4.7 percent in the third quarter of 2023, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 5.9 percent and hours worked increased 1.1 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) The increase in labor productivity is the highest rate since the third quarter of 2020, in which productivity increased 5.7 percent. From the same quarter a year ago, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023.

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all workers, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector decreased 0.8 percent in the third quarter of 2023, reflecting a 3.9-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 4.7-percent increase in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 1.9 percent over the last four quarters.

Historical Revisions

Data in this release reflect the 2023 Comprehensive Update of the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce on September 28, 2023. See “Revised measures” section.


BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in productivity tend to reduce them. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account consumer prices, increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2023, and increased 0.6 percent over the last four quarters.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity declined 0.7 percent in the third quarter of 2023, as output decreased 0.1 percent and hours worked increased 0.7 percent. In the durable manufacturing sector, productivity decreased 1.4 percent, reflecting a 2.3-percent increase in output and a 3.8-percent increase in hours worked. Nondurable manufacturing sector productivity increased 2.1 percent, as output decreased 2.4 percent and hours worked decreased 4.4 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity decreased 0.7 percent from the same quarter a year ago.

Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 7.0 percent in the third quarter of 2023, reflecting a 6.2-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 0.7-percent decrease in productivity. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 5.8 percent from the same quarter a year ago.

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Revised measures

Measures of output for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors, and measures of compensation for all sectors, incorporate revised National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) data released on September 28, 2023, by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Department of Commerce. Measures of real output provided by BEA reflect a change in base year from 2012 to 2017, and BLS has also changed the base year of indexes of labor productivity and related measures to 2017. As a result, all indexes in this release were revised historically. Revisions to percent change measures affected shorter time periods. Quarterly and annual measures incorporating compensation were subject to revision back to 2008 for the business and nonfarm business sectors, back to 2013 for the nonfinancial corporate sector, and back to 2018 for the manufacturing sector. Source data on output and compensation released by BEA on October 26, 2023, are reflected in data for the third quarter of 2023. Regular updates of source data on manufacturing output released in September and October by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are reflected in data for the first three quarters of 2023; there were no historical revisions to manufacturing output.

Hours worked and related measures for the business and nonfarm business sectors were subject to revision back to 2008 due to revised NIPA data on government enterprises employment and on the proportion of industry compensation paid to employees of nonprofit institutions. Hours worked and related measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector were subject to revision back to 2006 due to the incorporation of revised NIPA data on the proportion of industry compensation paid to employees of corporations.

In second-quarter 2020, productivity was revised up 3.4 percentage points due to a 2.2-percentage point upward revision to output and a 0.2-percentage point upward revision to hours worked. The revised figures now stand at an increase of 20.7 percent for productivity and decreases of 32.8 percent and 44.4 percent in output and hours worked, respectively. The second-quarter 2020 change is now the largest productivity increase in the series, topping the 17.9-percent increase in the fourth quarter of 1947. Other notably revised periods include the first and second quarters of 2021, which saw downward revisions to productivity of 1.8 percentage points and 1.5 percentage points, respectively. Because hours worked were not revised in these two quarters, these revisions can be attributed to downward revisions to output of 2.0 percentage points and 1.6 percentage points, respectively. Productivity in the first and second quarters of 2021 now stand at increases of 1.6 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively.

From the first quarter of 2012 to the second quarter of 2023, growth was revised upward overall, causing the revised index to outpace the previously published index. The average annual rate of nonfarm business sector productivity growth from the first quarter of 2012 to the second quarter of 2023 was revised up 0.1 percentage point to an increase of 1.3 percent.

The average annual rate of nonfarm business sector productivity growth during the portion of the current business cycle subject to revision--from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the second quarter of 2023--was revised down 0.1 percentage point to an increase of 1.2 percent. The rate of growth for this business cycle through the current quarter--the third quarter of 2023--is 1.4 percent.

Table B1 presents revised and previous labor productivity and related measures for the nonfarm business, business, and manufacturing sectors for the second quarter of 2023. Table A2 presents these measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector.

Nonfarm business sector productivity in the second quarter of 2023 was revised up 0.1 percentage point to an increase of 3.6 percent. As hours worked were unrevised, this stems from a 0.1-percentage point upward revision to output. Second-quarter unit labor costs were revised up 1.0 percentage point to an increase of 3.2 percent, reflecting a 1.2-percentage point upward revision to hourly compensation and the aforementioned revision to productivity. Real hourly compensation in the second quarter of 2023 was also revised upward 1.2 percentage point, to an increase of 4.1 percent.

Manufacturing sector productivity was revised up 0.2 percentage point to an increase of 3.1 percent in the second quarter of 2023, reflecting a 0.2-percentage point upward revision to output. Hours worked were unrevised. Productivity was revised up 0.9 percentage point in the durable manufacturing sector and down 0.5 percentage point in the nondurable manufacturing sector. In the second quarter of 2023, total manufacturing unit labor costs increased 6.3 percent rather than 4.9 percent as previously reported, reflecting a 1.7-percentage point upward revision to hourly compensation which was partially offset by the 0.2-percentage point upward revision to productivity.

Nonfinancial corporate sector productivity increased 2.1 percent in the second quarter of 2023, rather than the previously published estimate of a 3.7-percent increase, as a result of a 1.6-percentage point downward revision to output and a 0.1-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. Unit labor costs in the nonfinancial corporate sector were revised up 2.8 percentage points to an increase of 4.9 percent in the second quarter of 2023, as hourly compensation was revised up 1.3 percentage points and productivity was revised down 1.6 percentage points.

Annual averages

Table C1 presents annual data for the nonfarm business, total manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors from 2020 to 2022. Annual average percent changes compare average annual indexes from one year to the next.

Annual average productivity in the nonfarm business sector was revised down to a 1.9-percent decrease in 2022, as output increased 2.1 percent and hours worked increased 4.0 percent. Annual average productivity in 2021 was revised down 0.5 percentage point to an increase of 1.7 percent, and in 2020 was revised up 0.7 percentage point to an increase of 5.2 percent. Unit labor costs were revised down 0.5 percentage point in 2022, revised up 0.7 percentage point in 2021, and revised down 0.6 percentage point in 2020.

Annual average manufacturing sector productivity, output, and hours worked were not revised for 2022, 2021, or 2020. Unit labor costs were revised down in 2022, 2021, and 2020 by 0.3 percentage point, 0.4 percentage point, and 0.2 percentage point, respectively.

In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity was revised up 1.2 percentage points to a decrease of 1.0 percent in 2022. This stemmed from a 1.1-percentage point upward revision to output, as hours worked were unrevised. Unit labor costs were revised down 2.5 percentage points to an increase of 5.2 percent, reflecting a 1.2-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation and the aforementioned revision to productivity.

Quarterly and annual data for all sectors for recent years appear in tables 1-6. Full historical annual and quarterly measures can be found at www.bls.gov/productivity/tables/.




Posted: November 2, 2023 Thursday 08:30 AM




Tags - Research
ADP EMPLOYMENT
BEIGE BOOK
BUSINESS BAROMETER
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
CASE-SHILLER
CEO CONFIDENCE
CHALLENGER LAYOFFS
CHICAGO FED MIDWEST MFG
CHICAGO FED NATL ACTIVITY
CHICAGO PMI
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
CONSUMER CREDIT
CPI
CURRENT ACCOUNT
DURABLE GOODS
EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS INDEX
EXISTING HOME SALES
FACTORY ORDERS
FOMC STMT
FOMC
GDP
HELP WANTED HWOL
HOUSING STARTS
ICSC CHAIN STORE
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
ISM MFG
ISM NON-MFG
JOB OPENINGS
JOBLESS CLAIMS
KANSAS CITY FED MFG
LEADING INDEX
MASS LAYOFFS
MICH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
MORTGAGE APPS
NAHB INDEX
NAPM-NY
NBER
NEW HOME SALES
NEW YORK FED MFG
NFIB OPTIMISM INDEX
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT
PAYCHEX-IHS SMALL JOBS
PENDING HOME SALES
PERSONAL INCOME
PHILA FED FORECASTERS
PHILA FED MFG
PHILA FED NON-MFG
PPI
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL HOURLY EARNINGS
RETAIL SALES
RICHMOND FED MFG
TEXAS FED MFG
TREASURY INTL CAPITAL
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
Archives
May 2024
Apr 2024
Mar 2024
Feb 2024
Jan 2024
Dec 2023
Nov 2023
Oct 2023
Sep 2023
Aug 2023
Jul 2023
Jun 2023
May 2023
Apr 2023
Mar 2023
Feb 2023
Jan 2023
Dec 2022
Nov 2022
Oct 2022
Sep 2022
Aug 2022
Jul 2022
Jun 2022
May 2022
Apr 2022
Mar 2022
Feb 2022
Jan 2022
Dec 2021
Nov 2021
Oct 2021
Sep 2021
Aug 2021
Jul 2021
Jun 2021
May 2021
Apr 2021
Mar 2021
Feb 2021
Jan 2021
Dec 2020
Nov 2020
Oct 2020
Sep 2020
Aug 2020
Jul 2020
Jun 2020
May 2020
Apr 2020
Mar 2020
Feb 2020
Jan 2020
Dec 2019
Nov 2019
Oct 2019
Sep 2019
Aug 2019
Jul 2019
Jun 2019
May 2019
Apr 2019
Mar 2019
Feb 2019
Jan 2019
Dec 2018
Nov 2018
Oct 2018
Sep 2018
Aug 2018
Jul 2018
Jun 2018
May 2018
Apr 2018
Mar 2018
Feb 2018
Jan 2018
Dec 2017
Nov 2017
Oct 2017
Sep 2017
Aug 2017
Jul 2017
Jun 2017
May 2017
Apr 2017
Mar 2017
Feb 2017
Jan 2017
Dec 2016
Nov 2016
Oct 2016
Sep 2016
Aug 2016
Jul 2016
Jun 2016
May 2016
Apr 2016
Mar 2016
Feb 2016
Jan 2016
Dec 2015
Nov 2015
Oct 2015
Sep 2015
Aug 2015
Jul 2015
Jun 2015
May 2015
Apr 2015
Mar 2015
Feb 2015
Jan 2015
Dec 2014
Nov 2014
Oct 2014
Sep 2014
Aug 2014
Jul 2014
Jun 2014
May 2014
Apr 2014
Mar 2014
Feb 2014
Jan 2014
Dec 2013
Nov 2013
Oct 2013
Sep 2013
Aug 2013
Jul 2013
Jun 2013
May 2013
Apr 2013
Mar 2013
Feb 2013
Jan 2013
Dec 2012
Nov 2012
Oct 2012
Sep 2012
Aug 2012
Jul 2012
Jun 2012
May 2012
Apr 2012
Mar 2012
Feb 2012
Jan 2012
Dec 2011
Nov 2011
Oct 2011
Sep 2011
Aug 2011
Jul 2011
Jun 2011
May 2011
Apr 2011
Mar 2011
Feb 2011
Jan 2011
Dec 2010
Nov 2010
Oct 2010
Sep 2010
Aug 2010
Jul 2010
Jun 2010
May 2010
Apr 2010
Mar 2010
Feb 2010
Jan 2010
Dec 2009
Nov 2009
Oct 2009
Sep 2009
Aug 2009
Jul 2009
Jun 2009
May 2009
Apr 2009
Mar 2009
Feb 2009
Jan 2009
Dec 2008
Nov 2008
Oct 2008
Sep 2008
Aug 2008






National Association for Business Economics
NABE

Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works.

CFA Institute

Quick Links
Barron's Online
Bloomberg
CNBC
CNBC TV Live
CNet Investor
Financial Times (UK)
Forbes
Kudlow Podcast
MSNBC TV Live
NBC News
NY Times
The Economist
TheStreet.com
Wall St Journal
Dismal Scientist
Dr. Ed Yardeni
FRED Graph
Lawrence Kudlow
GDPNow
NABE
ABC News
CNNfn
Institutional Investor
MarketWatch
Cash Prices - WSJ.com
Dollar Index
Dr. Jeremy Siegel
Market Map
NY RBOB Gas
PriceStats
Rig Count
Shadow Fed - SOMC
The Billion Prices Project
BankStocks.com
Dow Jones Indices
Morningstar
SP Indices
Mt Washington Observatory
Weather.com
Yahoo!!